Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks 11/11

Tiny Nick's Gambling Picks 11/11 By Nick Hamaty - November 11, 2026 Locks NBA (0.75 Unit) Luka Doncic Over 4.5 Made Three’s (-110; Odds via Fanduel): 7:00 PM CT on League Pass Let’s go with a familiar favorite angle here as the Lakers get to face another bad three-point defense. Luka was only 3-for-11 from deep on Monday night, the first time he failed to clear this prop total October 23rd, but maybe that’s a good thing for tonight. Eventually this prop is going to get juiced to a place where it’s not worth playing, but an under on Monday holds that off for a while at least. And that creates an opportunity against a Bucks defense allowing the 4th-most made three’s on the 3rd-most attempts per game. The three’s should be flying in this game, so I like the best player on the planet to clear his total tonight. NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) Colgate/St John’s Over 157 (-110; Odds via Fanduel): 6:00 PM CT on Peacock The 13th-ranked Red Storm will want to show out in this game on national TV, and I think they’ve found their stride to do so. It took a game for St John’s to get rolling, but this offense and the tempo that Rick Pitino likes to operate at, are too much for a mid-major like Colgate to handle. SJU was able to run up and down the floor on a very slow-paced Iona team at MSG on Sunday, and should have an even easier time creating a track meet here. Colgate is more willing to run so far this season, and their defense is really looking rough on the interior and in transition, the two places SJU wants to attack. But the Raiders will always have shooters, so they can chip in here, and I think that gets us to an over to excite the MSG crowd. NCAA Basketball (0.75 Unit) Robert Morris @ Arkansas -31.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 7:00 PM CT on SECN+ I’m having a hard time believing the KenPom projection here of only a 23-point Arkansas win incoming. From a matchup and talent differential, I’m much more on board with the opening spread of about 30 points, but then you have to factor in the situation. Arkansas was just embarrassed on Sunday by Virginia, which isn’t the worst thing in the world but you have to think Coach Cal will have his guys ready to take out some frustrations. This is a Robert Morris team that was run out by 37 at an average Nevada team, and simply don’t have the shooting to keep up here. Arkansas doesn’t take many three’s so they’ll be attacking the rim all game, which is exactly where the Colonials struggle the most on defense, and those easy buckets should build up into a runaway for the Hogs tonight. NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) Cal Poly/Grand Canyon Over 181.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 8:00 PM CT on MW+ It’s wild to think that this might be the buy-low point on Cal Poly totals, so I have to take a shot on the over. Any time you get two teams in the top-25 of adjusted tempo squaring off, it’s worth paying attention to the over, but this is the 25th-fastest team in GCU and the absolute fastest in Poly. And for the Antelopes, they’ve gotten to 182 and 180 points in their two games against teams far slower than what they’ll see here, so I think Bryce Drew will let them run all night. The GCU offense is looking really good on the interior, and with as many layups as Poly tends to allow, that alone will create a nice floor for reaching this big number. And Poly having just put up 84 points against a really good Arizona defense is a sign of things to come for them, so up, up, and away with this one tonight. Degenerates No degenerates today. Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 32-43 (-2.75 Units) – Recommend: Fade Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks. Nick Hamaty Nick Hamaty, an Iowa State graduate, specializes in sports betting and the Minnesota Twins. He is also a huge fan of Tony Romo and NAV. All Articles